SuperforecastingWhen it comes to making predictions about the future, the average expert is about as accurate as a dart throwing chimpanzee. This was the much publicised conclusion of the largest and most comprehensive analysis of expert predictions ever undertaken, completed by Philip Tetlock in 2005 after almost twenty years' work. Not only was the average success rate of the experts roughly equivalent to that of someone making random guesses, but Tetlock

This practical cookbook shows you how

Kate searches her Edinburgh house

An original and accessible guide to drawing in ink

a reactor at the Chernobyl Nuclear Power Plant in Soviet Ukraine exploded

this cookbook makes Italian cooking simple

She has a spirit worthy of a crown - and a crown is what she seeks

We're fast approaching the 3rd decade of the 21st century and it's a very different world from the one in which parents (and teachers) grew up in

Robert finds that the ancient skills and knowledge of the properties of ash

and his wife Caroline

lived on country estates

With memories slipping away by the day

sloths have attracted a vast audience of admirers